Tennessee -12 over Jacksonville

This may become a trend this week, but I have no faith in the Titans. The Jags are awful but would it really shock you if they came off their bye and beat this Titans team? I'm laying the points solely because the Jags lost arguably their only playmaker in Justin Blackmon, and if you were on the Jags you would probably do a lot of drugs too. 

Philadelphia +1 over Green Bay 

What do we make of these teams now? I'm taking the Eagles because I didn't believe in this Packers team with Aaron Rodgers 100% healthy. Now without him I'll take the team with more firepower. Without ARo the Eagles possess the three best offensive weapons in this game. I hate it, but I'm taking Chip Kelly's squad. 

Pittsburgh -3 over Buffalo

The Bills have a defense that can keep them in games, but the Steelers defense got embarassed once again by Tom Brady last week, they will be pissed off and playing like they need to make up for it. EJ Manuel doesn't stand a chance in this game. Their only hope of covering is if the Bills defense can keep the game tight for 60 minutes. 

Oakland +7.5 over Giants 

A 2-6 team is favored by 7.5 points over a 3-5 team? Yes the Raiders are flying east but after being embarassed last week they should snap back. Taking the Raiders this week means you are getting three or four free points, thanks to the Giants being a public team. 

St. Louis +9.5 over Indianapolis 

Coming off an emotional win is never easy. The Colts rallied late to win in Houston last week and now face a team that has found a running game. The Rams have run the ball exceptionally well the last few weeks and this Colts team is ranked 27th against the run this year. So when you combine a probable slow start for the Colts matched with a run game that can move the sticks and keep Andrew Luck off the field, you have a game that should end up being tight resulting in a close Colts win. 

Seattle -5 over Atlanta 

I like AP3's reasoning for this one and it most certainly could happen, but I'm taking the better team and the team whose offense hasn't been totally gutted by injuries. Sure their offensive line is struggling but how are the Falcons going to score points without Julio Jones and a healthy Roddy White against the best pass defense in the game? 

Cincinnati -1.5 over Baltimore

The Ravens can be hit or miss but don't be fooled, they are a bad team. It wouldn't shock me to see them win this one or even cover while losing, but if they played this game 100 times the Bengals would cover this line at least 51 times, so that's the play. I just wouldn't bet on this game. 

Detroit pick’em over Chicago

I feel like I'm stuck between a rock and a hard place with this game. I have flip flopped a dozen times. Neither of these teams seem to enjoy winning, espeically Detroit. However, an extra week for Megatron to rest up feels like a bigger advantage than Jay Cutler coming back early from an injury. 

San Francisco -6 over Carolina

Carolina has beaten up on a lot of bad teams this year. Now they are in the spotlight in their first big test and I can't see anything but an asswhooping coming their way. 

Arizona -2 over Houston

Lock Alert 

This line doesn't make much sense to me either. How are the Texans less Arian Foster and with Ben Tate playing with four broken ribs, one point better than the Cardinals? Yes, Carson Palmer, I know. But without the help of a running game the Texans are going to have to rely on a young quarterback throwing into a secondary with Patrick Peterson and the Honeybadger. And after having their season effectively ended last week with a heartbreaking loss to the Colts, this feels like a lock. 

San Diego +7 over Denver