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NFL Pick'Em: Week 1, 2013 

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Week 1 is underway as we approach the first Sunday of the season. The US Open somehow trumps Week 1 of the NFL resulting in just two late afternoon games before we get an NFC East battle tomorrow night. There are some great games to be seen and some money to be won, so come check out our picks for this weekend and win some money with us.

 


* Home teams in bold.



AP3 


Patriots -9.5 over Bills

The line has come down a bit since the Bills announced EJ Manuel as the starter. I love it.

Titans +7 over Steelers

Solely making this pick because I chose the Steelers in my knockout pool.

Saints -3 over Falcons

Sean Payton's first game back at home against a division rival. Why isn't this game in Prime Time?

NY Jets +3 over Bucs

Upset Special!

I guess? Nobody believes in the Jets this year. So many critics and Revis back in town get it shoved in their face when Rex Ryan starts the year 1-0.

Chiefs -4 over Jaguars

Lock Alert!

Kansas City is everyone's pick to be a turnaround team this season.  If that's the case they need this one.

Bengals +3 over Bears

I don't like this Bears team at all. The heart of their defense is gone, and their QB is a POS.

Dolphins PK over Browns

Stay Away!

Two more teams the people think have improved greatly over the off season. I'm not buying it yet.

Panthers +3.5 over Seahawks

Cam Newton makes the leap this year. I don't like Pete Carroll.

Lions -5 over Vikings

Look for minimal defense and lots of offense. At least from the Lions anyway. I doubt Christian Ponder has improved over the off season.

Colts -9 over Raiders

Because at this point there is no point amount high enough to make me want to take the Raiders.

Cardinals +4.5 over Rams

I think that there is just too much offense in Arizona now for the Rams to keep up. Carson Palmer can still sling it and Bruce Arians proved that he can do it as a head coach in Indy last year.

49ers -4.5 over Packers

Stay Away!

Where to begin here? Do the niners suffer a Super Bowl hangover? Do the Packers have a running game? Is Colin Kaepernick a legit Quarterback? I don’t like anything about this pick.

Cowboys -3 over NY Giants

Dallas has yet to beat the Giants in the new Cowboys Stadium. Romo has a huge game. Put it on the board.

Eagles +3.5 over Redskins

I hope I’m wrong here, but i just don’t think RG3’s knee has healed. Chip Kelly will come out with his fast paced attack and Washington won’t be able to respond in time.

Texans -4 over Chargers

I like to think of this year as the official end of Phillip Rivers. No Norv Turner to “hold him back.” See ya in Cleveland next year Phil.


Overall Record 1-0
Lock Alert Record 0-0

Upset Special Record 0-0


 

ap3

Saturday, September 7, 2013 


MLZ 


Patriots -9.5 over Bills


Are people really taking the Bills seriously? Tom Brady and the Patriots should roll in the opener against an injured rookie QB.

Steelers -7 over Titans


Provided Chris Johnson doesn’t break a long run, I can’t see them even scoring seven points against this Steelers defense, so naturally I think Pittsburgh will cover.

Saints -3 over Falcons


This game should not be at 1pm. The Superdome is going to be the loudest it has been since the Saints return after Hurricane Katrina. This is a big test for that defense right out of the gate, but Matt Ryan’s deer in the headlights look will be seen while Drew Brees runs the score up.

NY Jets +3 over Bucs


Upset special!


I have no faith in this Bucs team. They are not good. Of course the Jets aren’t either but this will be their lone bright spot on the year. And by lone bright spot I mean their only win.


Chiefs -4 over Jaguars


Lock Alert!


If this game took place in Week 10 the Chiefs might be 13 point favorites. Instead here we are in Week 1 with more value on this line than perhaps any you will find all season. This Chiefs team is going to be pretty good while the same can’t be said about the lowly Jags.

Bears -3 over Bengals


These are both teams that have garnished some sleeper status. I like the Bears to breakout this year and not so much the Bengals, making this an easy pick for me.

Browns PK over Dolphins


Yuck.

Seahawks -3.5 over Panthers


People are really jumping on board this as an early upset special. While I like that Panthers team to take a big step forward this year, Seattle is just too good at too many things. Cam Newton always starts the year slow and this year he will have an excuse to in the form of the Seahawks defense.


Vikings +5 over Lions


The Lions suck. Peterson might may outscore them by himself.


Colts -9 over Raiders


Lock Alert!


Nine points at the start of a game can seem like a lot to lay but when this game ends up Colts 31 Raiders 9 you’ll be kicking yourself for not betting it.

Rams -4.5 over Cardinals


I really like both of these clubs. The Cardinals just don’t have enough to hang with the rest of the NFC West this year, while the Rams may have what it takes to make a playoff push.


49ers -4.5 over Packers


This feels like an awful lot of points. The 49ers are definitely the better team, though you can never count out Aaron Rodgers. The defense of the 49ers should force Rodgers to his ass early and often enough to make up for an offense that could struggle themselves.

Cowboys -3 over NY Giants


Is it required that these two teams play on Sunday night of Week 1 every year? It seems like they always play in Dallas and it seems like the Giants always score 30+ points en route to a victory. However the Cowboys usually pay them back later on in the year by winning in New York. This year though the Cowboys are better. I think they surprise us by getting a nice win late in the game to start the year off. At the very least it will be a fun nightcap of Sunday #1.


Redskins -3.5 over Eagles


The first of the Monday night doubleheader features another NFC East battle. The Eagles I think are doomed with Vick in that Chip Kelly offense nevermind all the other new pieces that need to figure out their roles. On the other hand the Redskins rely on the health of RG3. He will at the very least start this one and that should be enough to survive a new Eagles club.


Texans -4 over Chargers


I really don’t like this pick. I know it seems like a lock but I am not high on the Texans this year. Yet they are only laying four points to a terrible Chargers team. Yes they should be better by way of addition by subtraction of Norv Turner but Phil Rivers and the rest of their talent has lost a step too much to surprise us this year. They may need to just blow things up in San Diego.



Overall Record 1-0
Lock Alert Record 0-0

Upset Special Record 0-0


 

mlz

Saturday, September 7, 2013 

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