Kansas City -3 over Washington

While I probably should listen to AP3 on this one the Redskins are just flat out bad. The Chiefs will be playing vanilla football the rest of the regular season but even that is enough to beat the Skins. 

Minnesota +7 over Baltimore

Last week Adrian Peterson averaged 6.1 yards per carry with eight or more guys in the box. While the Vikings suck he is still playing like a grown ass man. Obviously the Ravens defense is better than the Bears but he is playing well enough by himself to cover this line. 

New England -10.5 over Cleveland

Last week the Patriots had their hangover game after battling back against Peyton Manning and the Broncos. This week they return home and should return to form against the lowly Browns. If Aqib Talib is healthy enough to play he will be one on one against Josh Gordon who has been a man amongst boys the last two weeks. However, with Talib on covering him the Browns might not score. 

NY Jets -3 over Oakland

I hate picking the Jets as of late. They are just so confusing and so inconsistant. But coming off of three straight losses against a west coast team playing on the east coast is enough to make me lay these points either way stay away from betting this game. 

Indianapolis +7 over Cincinnati 

The Colts have really struggled sine knocking off the Broncos in Week 7. While their record has them at 8-4 they could easily be sitting at 4-8. However the Bengals haven't exactly lit the world on fire either. They have only beaten two teams by more than one score, vs Cleveland and vs the Jets. This game will probably end up deciding the #3 and #4 seeds in the AFC so there is plenty on the line. The Bengals may be undefeated at home but this is too many points to lay against a team that never quits no matter how bad they have played as of late. 

Detroit +3 over Philadelphia

The Eagles are playing some great football but the Lions have extra time to prepare for a banged up Eagles secondary. If there is one thing the Lions do well it's throw the ball, Calvin Johnson could be in line for another monster performance. Despite there being a couple huge matchups this week this could end up being the best game of the week and probably the most difficult to handicap. 

Pittsburgh -3 over Miami

Lock Alert 

This is really a must win for both teams. Miami sits in a tie with Baltimore for the #6 seed in the AFC, while the Steelers remain one game back of those two. But that means that the Steelers season is on the line this week. Also the NFL coming down hard on Mike Tomlin may be exactly what the Steelers needed to get their team to come together and play as one. They need to go on a run to close out the year if they want to make the playoffs and it all starts this week. 

Tampa Bay -3 over Buffalo

What the hell happened to that god awful Bucs team we watched the first eight weeks of the season? Who would have thought they would turn it around? 

Green Bay -3 over Atlanta 

Is Houston the only team that wants the top pick? Teams like Atlanta keep screwing themselves. However this week they are not going to go into Lambeau and knock off a Packers team with extra time to prep for this shitty Falcons team. This may end up being the worst game of the week. Both teams are struggling and playing sloppy football and neither head coach deserves a head coaching job in the NFL. 

Tennessee +13 over Denver 

I am only taking the points because it might be a bit difficult for the Broncos to get up for this game after last weeks great win. There might be a bit of comfort settling in even though the Patriots are breathing down their neck for the #1 seed. The Broncos will without a doubt win this game but I think it might be closer than the 70% of people betting the Broncos expect. 

Arizona -6 over St. Louis

The Cardinals are playing as well as some people, includng myself, thought the Rams would play like this season. While the Rams have somehow been better since the loss of Sam Bradford, the Cards have a great defense and an underrated home field advantage. With that secondary they can load the box and dare the Rams to throw at Patrick Peterson or the Honeybadger. Good luck with that. 

San Diego -3.5 over NY Giants 

The Chargers are still only one game back of the #6 seed. Unfortunately for the Chargers they are behind the eightball in nearly every tiebreaker meaning they have to start winning. Their season is on the line this week and the Giants are flying to the west coast and still are far from even a decent football team. Look for a nice four interception game from Eli as the Chargers kick off a final playoff push. 

Seattle +3 over San Francisco 

Moneyline Special +125

Is this a bad joke? Sure Seattle has clinched the NFC West and has a 2.5 game lead over the Saints and Panthers for the #1 seed in the NFC. Obviously SF needs this game more but this is a rivalry game. Seattle is going to come out looking for blood. They don't want to see the 49ers a third time this season and you know they would love to deliver the knockout punch. 

PS. Yes the Seahawks have played the 3rd easiest schedule this season, but look at how well Russell Wilson has played and please could someone explain to me why he isn't being mentioned more in the MVP race... His home and away splits... at home Russ is 99/145 for 1,358 yards with 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions for a QB Rating of 114.1. On the road Russ is 99/160 for 1,314 yards with 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions for a QB Rating of 103.5. There is no fradulent smell coming off the Seahawks. They are the real deal as is Russell Wilson. 

PSS. Seattle is not that far from San Francisco. Look for the Seahawks faithful to travel for this one. 

Carolina +3.5 over New Orleans

AP3 is dead on with this one. You are going to hear "this is the biggest game in Cam Newton's life" a lot more. We have already heard it twice before this week and we will hear it at least twice more before their season is over. Regardless I think the Saints bounce back and win this one at home. They are a completely different team at home and should win a close game this week, but look for the Panthers to get revenge in two weeks. By the way, usually teams get three points for being the home team. But in this scenario it feels as though they gave the Saints an extra half point for being at home because these teams have to be considered even at the very least. 

Dallas Pick ‘em over Chicago

The Cowboys need to keep winning to keep pace with the Eagles. Something tells me that all Cowboys fans are dreading that week 17 matchup with the Eagles that will likely determine which of the two make the playoffs. They would really like to avoid a meaningful matchup in that game and therefore need to keep winning and hope to get some help. This week they are going to win another ugly game simply because the Bears defense is abysmal. The Cowboys are far better at home but Tony Romo should have a monster game in a battle that could be really high scoring.