Daytona 500 2013 Preview
We are almost there. I can smell the burnt rubber and spent fuel
from here. With Danica leading the pack to the first green flag of
the Great American Race we will hear the phrase "Danica sits on the
pole" we can all chuckle and then watch her wreck at some
point.
These Gen 6 cars seem to tough to get used to. There is clearly a
bit of a learning curve. These guys are driving the shit out of
them because there hasn't been much on the line and because they're
dying to get back in the car after the off season. That being said
they aren't trying to tear up race cars, they aren't exactly cheap.
But whether its practice or a competitive race they can't seem to
stay off of each other for very long. It's going to be one hell of
a Daytona 500.
One problem I wanted to discuss are these start and park cars.
Enough already. I get it you don't have funding so you try and limp
out there get a few eyeballs on your ride as well as a bit of
experience and then right to the garage they go. 43 cars typically
take the green flag to start the race but come lap 20 we are
usually down to about 35 cars. Sure that's plenty to put on a good
show but if your a guy competing for a title these teams shouldn't
be basically handing out extra points to you. Instead of finishing
last like you should if you wreck early on you could grab an extra
10 points because of these guys.
Then there's guys like the FAS Racing #32 team Terry Labonte drove
for in the Sprint Unlimited. After just two laps he parked his car
claiming a "vibration". Also known as this is our Daytona car we
can't mark it up or wear out the tires we don't have the funding.
But watch come this Sunday when he parks his ass on the sidelines
again.
It's absurd to me that team owners think they're going to get
sponsorship any other way than good racing. Why would someone want
to sponsor a team that quits in a fan first race? There are a
select few in that race and they chose to say "fuck you" to the
fans and sit that one out. Nobody wants to sponsor that guy. In
fact I would argue there's more people like me rooting for that
team to fail this year than there are sponsors gained by this
instance or any start and park asshole.
NASCAR needs to do something about these guys. Either you should
have the intention to race for a win or don't bother showing
up.
This never would have happened back in the day. Before our society
had evolved to what it is now these teams would be saving up all
the money they can to race in one race hoping to win to be able to
try it again the next week. Now these guys are entitled to a start
with no intentions of trying to put on a show. Enough's enough
NASCAR.
More importantly we are here to discuss what we have all been
waiting for, the Daytona 500. Kevin Harvick enters currently
unbeaten on the year while Kyle Busch also got a Bud Duel win on
Thursday.
There's two schools of thought as far as who is going to win this
year. One, you take the best drivers and assume that the most
skilled drivers will be able to handle this new car better than the
rest of the field. The other is to just roll with the long shots
and figure anybody can win so let me get the best value. I think
there's merit in both thoughts, but you need to spear some coin out
at this race if you want to win.
Best Bets
Kevin Harvick 9-1
Two races two wins on the year is hard to argue against. He's one
of the best drivers there are and he's one of the best at
navigating his way through the Daytona field. He's starting third
so he should be up the front for most of the day.
Jimmie Johnson 10-1
Not so sure he wins but you might not see 10-1 for the #48 until
the next restrictor plate race. As much as I've talked up driving
skill, and Jimmie has plenty of it, this pick is more based on them
having Chas Knaus, the best crew chief in the sport by FAR. I'm
sure he has already learned this new car inside and out.
Denny Hamlin 15-1
To be honest I think Denny wrecks late. But 15-1 is great value for
him. He's a top five driving skill wise so I think if you have
money on him he'll be around late and give you a shot at winning.
If he leads with 3 laps left and then wrecks I'd say its a winning
bet since at least he gave you some hope/excitement.
Joey Logs 30-1
Solid long shot odds for this super talent kid. JGR really just
have up on him. He's going to want to prove himself and what better
place than Daytona?
Marcos Ambrose 40-1
$10 nets you four bills on Marcos. He knows his way around a race
car and is much more knowledgable than a lot of the other drivers.
Mostly known for his road course racing also kills it on most short
tracks and these Superspeedways. If he can get himself better at
the 1.5 mile tracks he'd be a title contender. Those we won't have
to wait too much longer for but right now 40-1 is great odds to see
Marcos in victory lane on Sunday night.
Aric Almirola 70-1
Here's a guy you don't think much of before the race but seems to
find himself inside the top 10 a lot of the times. 70-1 for a guy
who's at least going to race his ass off and probably hover inside
the top 10 is all you can ask for in a bet.
Tony Stewart 8-1
The best driver there is and the best at these types of races. 8-1
isn't very good for someone starting in the danger zone (15th) but
only one guy can win and he is my pick. This is where I wish
somebody had live NASCAR betting because Tony is going straight to
the back early to try and avoid the big one that's coming and it's
going to come quickly. You might not hear much from him for the
first 300-400 miles but the last 100-200 he will make a lot of
noise including taking the checkered flag in the Great American
Race 2013.
mlz
Friday, February 22, 2013